Includes bibliographical references and index.

Market efficiency and forecasting -- A step-by-step guide to the Black-Litterman model -- A demystification of the Black-Litterman model : managing quantitative and traditional portfolio construction -- Optimal portfolios from ordering information -- Some choices in forecast construction -- Bayesian analysis of the Black-Scholes option price -- Bayesian forecasting of options prices: a natural framework for pooling historical and implied volatility information -- Robust optimization for utilizing forecasted returns in institutional investment -- Cross-sectional stock returns in the UK market : the role of liquidity risk -- The information horizon- optimal holding period, strategy aggression and model combination in a multi-horizon framework -- Optimal forecasting horizon for skilled investors -- Investments as bets in the binomial asset pricing model -- The hidden binomial economy and the role of forecasts in determining prices.